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Democracy & Elections

Putin may soon say he will run in Russia’s 2024 election – Kommersant

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On Tuesday, Kommersant claimed that Russian President Vladimir Putin may announce his participation in a 2024 presidential election, allowing him to rule until 2030.

Kommersant said that anonymous individuals close to the presidential administration believe Putin may declare his participation in the March election during a November conference.

Although there were various options for what Putin may do at the conference, the renowned Russian publication reported he had the last say. No quick Kremlin response.

Putin, who took the president from Boris Yeltsin on December 31, 1999, has ruled Russia longer than any other leader since Josef Stalin, surpassing Leonid Brezhnev’s 18 years.

Putin turns 71 on October 7. Many diplomats, spies, and officials anticipate Putin to rule for life, although he has not announced his 2024 presidential bid.

PUTIN
Putin said last month he would unveil his intentions once parliament called the December presidential election, which is required by law.

Last month, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov suggested Putin would be unbeatable if he ran.

Putin may not compete for ballots, but he faces the biggest problems any Kremlin boss has faced since Mikhail Gorbachev battled the disintegrating Soviet Union over four decades ago.

The Ukraine war has caused the West’s largest confrontation since the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis and the Russian economy’s biggest external blow in decades. Yevgeny Prigozhin, Russia’s most powerful mercenary, tried to rebel in June.

Prigozhin died in an aircraft crash two months later.

The West views Putin as a war criminal and tyrant who has led Russia into an imperial-style struggle that has weakened the country, established Ukrainian statehood, united the West, and given NATO a post-Soviet mission to oppose Russia.

Putin, though, portrays the fight as part of a larger conflict with the US, which the Kremlin elite claims wants to divide Russia, steal its resources, and then settle scores with China.

As the West’s post-Cold War supremacy wanes, Russia recovers from the Soviet collapse, and China becomes a superpower, Moscow’s former Soviet spies have warned of a Russia-NATO battle.

West wants to assist Ukraine in fighting Russian soldiers, not the NATO-Russia confrontation. The Kremlin claims the West will never beat Russia in Ukraine.

Democracy & Elections

Thousands protested in Belgrade to demand the annulment of elections.

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Thousands protested in Belgrade to demand the annulment of elections. An anti-government demonstration took place on Sunday in the central business district of Belgrade. The demonstration aimed to demand the annulment of the unfair parliamentary and local elections a week ago.

According to early findings from the state election commission, the populist Serbian Progressive Party (SNS), now in power, received 46.72 percent of the votes cast in the snap parliamentary elections over the weekend.

A monitoring mission from the international community stated on Monday that the Social Networking Service (SNS) had obtained an unfair advantage due to prejudice in the media, unlawful influence from President Aleksandar Vucic, and voting irregularities such as vote-buying.

Vucic stated that the elections were conducted legally. A witness who spoke to Reuters claimed that the police used pepper spray on Sunday when a crowd attempted to break into the town hall in Belgrade, which houses the city’s local election commission. A few of the demonstrators scaled the stairs of the building and shattered the glass. People hurled stones at windows, causing the glass to shatter.

Demonstrators screamed, “Vucic thief,” again. The Ministry of the Interior issued a statement that urged demonstrators to “refrain from breaking into the town hall.”

“By reacting calmly, we are trying not to hurt protesters,” Vucic stated in the message in the early evening. In the election, the Socialist Party of Serbia came in third with 6.56% of the vote. In contrast, the opposition alliance Serbia Against Violence, a center-left coalition, came in second place with 23.56% of the vote.

While the audience yelled, “Get in, get in,” and “No surrender,” Srdjan Milivojevic and Vladimir Obradovic, members of the Serbia Against Violence coalition, attempted to open the town hall entrance but were unsuccessful. These individuals were unable to enter the building.

At around ten o’clock (2100 GMT), the anti-riot police moved protesters away from the town hall. Marinika Tepic, another Serbia Against Violence organization member, has been on a hunger strike since the elections.

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Democracy & Elections

In sea change for Poland, a new government is sworn in.

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The President of Poland swore in the new administration under Prime Minister Donald Tusk on Wednesday. This was the final stage in a power transfer that, after eight years of nationalist control, represented a significant shift in the country’s political landscape.

When Tusk was appointed, there were years of disagreements between Warsaw and Brussels under the previous administration, led by the Law and Justice (PiS) party. The selection of Tusk has increased expectations that ties with the rest of the European Union will become more harmonious.

Tusk, a moderate who served as president of the European Council from 2014 to 2019, claimed to obtain billions of euros for Poland in a speech he delivered to the Polish parliament on Tuesday. The EU has frozen these billions of euros due to concerns about the rule of law during his tenure as president of the European Council.

Both the authority to veto bills held by President Andrzej Duda, an ally of the PiS and the fact that judges were nominated under PiS changes that opponents say weakened the independence of the courts might make his work more difficult.

In the past, Duda has expressed his disapproval of Tusk in a manner that is quite critical; nevertheless, on Wednesday, after the swearing-in ceremony, he adopted a constructive and conciliatory tone.

“Please be aware that I am open to cooperation,” stated the president. “We come from different political camps, but I have found out that on important issues, such as security, we can come to an understanding.”

According to Tusk, who is 66 years old, his administration will prioritize the restoration of the rule of law and respecting the Constitution. Additionally, his government considers Duda partially accountable for policies that it believes have harmed the independence of the judiciary.

“Faithfulness to the provisions of the constitution will be the trademark of our government,” Tusk stated, adding that he believed the desire of voters to see the rule of law re-established was the reason for the record turnout in an election on October 15th.

THE IMMINENT CHALLENGES
Although they were victorious in the election, they lacked the required majority to form a government. This enabled Tusk to form a government, which parliament subsequently approved on Tuesday.

An example of the difficulties that Tusk will have to deal with is the decision that Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal made on Monday, which said that the judicial reform legislation that Poland needed to approve to gain access to EU money contradicted the constitution.

It came to the same judgment regarding the fines imposed by the highest court in the European Union (EU) before it reached a final ruling, referred to as interim measures.

Spending at the eleventh hour by the previous administration has also contributed to the stress on the budget, making it more difficult for Tusk to fulfill his commitments during the campaign.

In preparation for the European Union meeting that will take place on Thursday and Friday, Tusk is anticipated to fly to Brussels.

Additionally, Tusk will lend his support to Ukraine’s effort to eventually become a member of the bloc, in addition to his efforts to unlock finances for Poland.

Tusk stated on Tuesday that Poland will lobby for continuous support, which comes at a time when Kyiv is becoming increasingly concerned about the commitment of its Western friends to supporting its defense against Russia’s incursion.

The potential exists that Hungary would not provide the go-ahead for Ukraine to begin EU membership discussions at a conference in Brussels. This would be a disappointing development for Ukraine.

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Democracy & Elections

Taiwan vote must be free from ‘outside interference,’ senior US diplomat says

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“Outside interference” must be avoided during Taiwan’s election in 2024, according to the senior diplomat of the United States in Taipei, who stated on Monday that the United States’ stance toward the island will stay the same regardless of who wins.

During the presidential and parliamentary elections that will take place on January 13, Taiwan’s relations with its neighbors might be defined by the results of these elections. President Tsai Ing-wen and other authorities have warned that China may attempt to influence voters in favor of candidates who desire stronger ties with Beijing.

However, even though diplomatic relations with the Chinese-claimed island have been severed, the United States continues to be Taiwan’s most significant international backer and weaponry supplier.

In a lecture that she delivered at National Taiwan University, Sandra Oudkirk, who is the director of the American Institute in Taiwan and the de facto representative of the United States in Taiwan, they were stated that the United States has a great deal of faith in Taiwan’s democratic system and election procedures.

“We believe it is for the Taiwan voters to decide their next leader, free from outside interference,” stated the politician.

“And as I have said many times before, the United States is not taking sides in Taiwan’s election, we do not have a preferred candidate and we know very well that we do not have a vote,” according to Oudkirk. “We support Taiwan’s vibrant democracy and look forward to working with whichever leaders Taiwan voters elect in 2024.”

According to the results of popular opinion surveys, Lai Ching-te, presently serving as vice president and a member of the Democratic Progressive Party, is the leading candidate to become Taiwan’s next leader. China has rejected several of Lai’s invitations for negotiations because of China’s strong distaste for him and its belief that he is a separatist.

Lai’s primary adversary is Hou Yu-ih, a member of Taiwan’s major opposition party, the Kuomintang. This party has always supported tight connections with China. Still, it vehemently rejects being pro-Beijing and asserts that it will continue to preserve its close relationship with the United States.

The Chinese government has increased the amount of military pressure it exerted against Taiwan over the previous four years. This includes conducting two rounds of massive war exercises near the island in the past year and a half.

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