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UK’s Sunak to learn the fate of his Rwanda migrant plan this week

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On Wednesday, the Supreme Court of the United Kingdom will announce its verdict over whether or not the government is allowed to move forward with its plan to deport asylum seekers to Rwanda. This decision might have far-reaching implications for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and his administration.

At hearings in October, government attorneys argued that the highest court should reverse a verdict that said the plan to transport thousands of asylum seekers more than 4,000 miles (6,400 km) to East Africa was unconstitutional because Rwanda was not a safe third nation. The proceedings took place in response to a ruling that found the plan to deport the asylum seekers to be unlawful.

Sunak harbors the expectation that the Rwanda plan would be able to halt the flow of migrants crossing the Channel from Europe in tiny boats, allowing him to fulfill one of his most crucial policy commitments and revitalizing his flagging leadership in front of an election that is slated to take place the following year.

With his Conservative Party trailing by almost 20 points in the polls and immigration being a big worry for some people, the government would latch on to a victory in the Supreme Court as a sign that it was getting to grips with the immigration issue. This is because immigration is a primary concern for sure voters. The loss would be regarded as yet another unsuccessful attempt.

After Sunak upset some on the right of his party on Monday by firing Suella Braverman, a vocal critic of the treaty, from her position as the minister in charge of the issue, the decision of the court could also magnify calls from some Conservative lawmakers for Britain to pull out of the European Convention of Human Rights (ECHR). This is especially true after Sunak upset some on the right of his party by firing Suella Braverman from her position as the minister in charge of the issue.

The Supreme Court has handed down several significant decisions that have gone against the government in recent years, the most notable of which is the conclusion that former Prime Minister Boris Johnson violated the law when he suspended parliament in 2019.

On Wednesday, at 1000 GMT, the court’s five most senior judges, including Robert Reed, who also serves as its president, will hand down their verdict.

IMPERATIVE REQUIREMENT

Hearings lasted for three days, during which government attorneys spoke before the justices and asserted a “serious and pressing need” for the Rwanda program.

They said Rwanda was “less attractive” to individuals coming to Britain, which is why the program would be a deterrent. At the same time, the pact negotiated with the East African country would ensure that the human rights of migrants deported there would be safeguarded.

“There is a strong public interest in deterring illegal, dangerous, and unnecessary journeys from safe third countries to the UK while ensuring that those who continue to make such journeys are removed to a safe third country,” the researchers stated.

Rwanda has clarified that it intends to provide British migrants with the option to start over in a secure environment.

However, attorneys representing asylum seekers from Syria, Iraq, Iran, Vietnam, and Sudan who face the possibility of being deported to Rwanda contended that it was illegal to send individuals there because it would violate the European Convention on Human Rights and put them in danger of being repatriated to their home countries despite having legitimate asylum claims.

In addition, they claimed that those seeking asylum in Rwanda suffered inhumane or humiliating treatment. The United Nations organization in charge of refugees supports this assertion.

In April 2022, while Boris Johnson was still Prime Minister, he agreed with Rwanda to discourage asylum seekers from making the dangerous trek over the Channel. Sunak has made ending the flood of refugees one of his top five goals as he works to turn his and his party’s fortunes around.

James Cleverly, who has since replaced Braverman as Interior Minister, announced X, once known as Twitter. “We will stop the boats,” he stated.

After a record 45,755 individuals were found to have illegally entered the country in 2022, more than 27,000 people landed in Britain on small boats without authority this year.

The plan was put on hold in June of the previous year after the European Court of Human Rights issued an injunction at the eleventh hour, preventing the first planned flight. That directive is no longer valid at this point.

Africa

Congo releases its first provisional election results after a messy vote.

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Following an unplanned poll extension that lasted a whole day, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) announced a few preliminary results from the general elections on Friday. This delay has caused several opposition candidates to express their displeasure and demand a repeat of the election.

There were just a few thousand votes in the Congolese diaspora, and the provisional results revealed that President Felix Tshisekedi had a substantial advantage over his opponents.

The results of the elections held within Congo by its approximately 44 million registered voters will be made public beginning on Saturday, according to the CENI electoral body.

During a news conference held in Kinshasa, the country’s capital, CENI President Denis Kadima once again refuted criticisms by the opposition and independent observers, who said that the prolonged vote had been chaotic and lacked legitimacy.

In Africa’s second-biggest country, the world’s third-largest copper producer, and the top producer of cobalt, a critical component in electric vehicle batteries, controversial elections have frequently generated unrest. In addition, the country is the world’s most significant producer of cobalt.

The presidential and legislative elections scheduled to take place on Wednesday were thrown off because of problems with the equipment and delays in the delivery of election kits. Additionally, it was challenging for people to find their names on the registers, and violent crimes in some areas disrupted the voting process.

Small-scale demonstrations took place on Friday in eastern Lubero territory, where a failure to provide voting materials to distant locations resulted in 17,000 people still being unable to cast their ballots. These demonstrations served to highlight the widespread nature of the delays. The voting will take place on Saturday, according to a spokesman for CENI for Lubero, who spoke with Reuters.

The Carter Center, a United States election monitoring organization, made its first comment on the election on Friday. They stated that “there was a lack of confidence in the process, stemming in part from previous elections as well as from gaps in transparency, especially regarding the voter register.”

The process of voting for specific candidates was prolonged until Thursday, which prompted five contenders for the opposition presidential nomination to demand a fresh election, arguing that the delay violated the Constitution.

The Congolese independent observer groups and the opposition have both stated that the voting process was conducted in a manner that might potentially damage the legitimacy of the results.

In Kinshasa, the CENI established a results center called Basolo, which translates to “truth” in the Lingala language. At this center, it is stated that the results from each polling station will be shared with the public as they are received. The opposition and members of civil society argue that the lack of transparency during the most recent elections made fraud possible, so they are making this fundamental demand.

The CENI has established a deadline of December 31 for publishing full provisional results; however, it is unclear whether this deadline will be altered due to the unexpected extension of the voting period.

To ensure the process is credible, the Carter Center requested that the commission publish the results at the local level and upload them from polling stations to its website.

Didi Manara, the commission’s vice president, stated on Thursday that the logistical problems that occurred on election day were outside the control of the CENI and had nothing to do with poor preparation. He made this statement while speaking on Top Congo FM, a radio station.

During the election that took place in 2011, he mentioned that some areas of the Congo had allowed voters to cast their ballots on a second day.

According to estimates from the Carter Center, the tumultuous election day that took place culminated in a campaign that was also characterized by violence and resulted in the deaths of at least 19 people.

In a statement released on Thursday, Moise Katumbi, the opposition’s presidential candidate, stated that the results thus far indicated him to be in the lead. His team has been watching the vote count.

The powerful Catholic Church of the Congo has sent out more than 25,000 observers as part of the observer mission to compile election results. A similar action was taken by them during the 2018 election, when they challenged the results of the vote count conducted by the CENI.

After a first five years in power defined by economic hardship and spiraling insecurity in Congo’s rebel-plagued east, the vote will determine whether or not Tshisekedi serves a second term as president.

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UK interior minister travels to Rwanda to resurrect asylum plan.

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On Tuesday, the Minister of the Interior of the United Kingdom, James Cleverly, came to Rwanda to sign a new treaty. This was done to circumvent a court judgment that blocked the government’s contentious policy of transferring asylum seekers to the East African nation.

The Rwandan plan is at the core of the government’s attempt to reduce migration, and it is being closely monitored by other nations who are considered to be considering policies that are comparable to Rwanda’s.

In a decision handed down a month ago, the Supreme Court of the United Kingdom stated that such a move would violate international human rights norms embedded in domestic legislation.

Following the decision, the United Kingdom has been making efforts to revise its agreement with Rwanda to incorporate a legally binding treaty that guarantees Rwanda would not remove asylum seekers brought there by the United Kingdom. This is one of the primary concerns of the court.

Several attorneys and charitable organizations have said that it is highly improbable that deportation flights will begin before the election. With a lead of more than ten percentage points in the polls, the opposition Labour Party intends to abandon the Rwanda policy if it is victorious.

A meeting between Cleverly, who arrived in Kigali, the capital of Rwanda, on Tuesday morning, and Vincent Biruta, the country’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, is scheduled to take place to sign the agreement.

“Rwanda cares deeply about the rights of refugees, and I look forward to meeting with counterparts to sign this agreement and further discuss how we work together to tackle the global challenge of illegal migration,” Cleverly says.

The United Kingdom aims to transfer thousands of asylum seekers who came to its beaches without authorization to Rwanda under the plan that was agreed upon the previous year. This discourages migrants from crossing the Channel from Europe in tiny boats.

In exchange, Rwanda has been given an initial payment of 140 million pounds, equivalent to 180 million dollars, along with the promise of additional funds to cover the costs of housing and medical treatment for any deported persons.

THE PRESSURE
A great deal of pressure is being put on Prime Minister Rishi Sunak to reduce net migration, which reached a record high of 745 thousand people in the previous year, with the vast majority of migrants entering through legal channels.

“Stop the boats” is one of the five goals that Sunak has set for his government. The influx of asylum seekers who pay people smugglers for their crossings of the Channel, which frequently take place in boats that are overloaded and not seaworthy, is one of the aims that Sunak has set.

The Supreme Court determined that the Rwanda plan should not be implemented because there was a possibility that refugees who were deported would have their claims incorrectly evaluated or that they would be sent back to their country of origin to suffer persecution.

In the latter part of this week, it is anticipated that the new treaty will be followed by the release of legislation declaring Rwanda a so-called safe nation. This law is intended to prevent legal challenges against the planned deportation flights.

Despite this, this will probably result in a fresh set of political and legal difficulties.

An immigration attorney at Harbottle & Lewis named Sarah Gogan stated that the government’s policy will be challenged due to Rwanda’s history of violations of human rights provisions.

“Rwanda is an unsafe country and this is not a quick fix,” added the politician. “You cannot in a matter of weeks or months reform a country and turn it into one with an impartial judiciary and administrative culture.”

Another “gimmick” was what Yvette Cooper, the spokesperson for the Labour Party’s home affairs department, called the most recent measures proposed by the administration.

Whether or not to design the law in a way that would avoid subsequent legal challenges is still up for debate by the administration.

Several members of the Conservative Party in parliament are putting pressure on the government to incorporate a “notwithstanding” clause into Rwanda’s policy. This clause would disapprove the domestic and international human rights commitments of the United Kingdom regarding Rwanda.

However, some politicians within the ruling party, such as Robert Buckland, have stated that such a move would be “foolish” and undermine the Good Friday Agreement, which is primarily responsible for ending three decades of carnage in Northern Ireland. This is because the European Convention on Human Rights supports the treaty.

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Madagascar leader wins presidential vote, constitutional court says

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On Friday, the High Constitutional Court of Madagascar certified Andry Rajoelina, the current President of Madagascar, to be the victor of the election a month ago, essentially granting him a third term in office.

Following the dismissal of several challenges submitted against the preliminary results by the electoral board, the court said that Rajoelina collected 58.96% of the votes that were cast.

Florent Rakotoarisoa, the chairman of the High constitutional court, stated that “Andry Rajoelina is elected as the president of the republic of Madagascar and is taking his functions as soon as the swearing (is conducted) comes to an end.”

The rejected challenge was submitted by the politician Siteny Randrianasoloniaiko, who received 14.39% of the vote, according to the court. This was one of the challenges that was denied.

Ten of the thirteen candidates chose not to participate in the election; nevertheless, their names were already on the ballot, so they could still divide the remaining votes. The court reported that the turnout was 46.35 percent.

The election on November 16 was preceded by weeks of demonstrations, during which the opposition accused Rajoelina of having fostered conditions that were unjust to the election.

The charges that the vote was rigged have been refuted by Rajoelina, and the army has issued a warning against any attempts to destabilize the country.

As far as the opposition is concerned, the voter turnout for the election was the lowest it has ever been in the country’s history.

Hajo Andrianainarivelo, a former minister who was one of the candidates who chose to abstain from voting, has committed to fight against what he has described as a lack of respect for the rules of the state and the tyranny of the people.

“The popular fight begins now,” he declared on Thursday referring to the ongoing conflict.

Rajoelina, now 49 years old, initially won power in a coup in 2009. After resigning from his position as the head of a transitional authority in 2014, he went on to win another election in 2018 and regain his position as president.

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